Amanda Ripley Author of The Unthinkable

The Unthinkable is the thinking person's manual for getting out alive.
NPR, National Public Radio


“Engrossing and lucid … An absorbing study of the psychology and physiology of panic, heroism, and trauma … Facing the truth about the human capacity for risk and disaster turns out to be a lot less scary than staying in the dark.”

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Event Date: Monday, September 14, 2009

The Unthinkable in California

I’ll be giving the keynote talk at the Disaster Planning for California Hospitals conference on Sept. 14 in Sacramento. I’m looking forward to learning something myself, seeing as California does disasters better than almost any other place. 

Event Date: Wednesday, July 15, 2009

The Unthinkable in Chicago

I’ll be speaking about disaster mythology at the Illinois Public Health Emergency Preparedness Summit on July 15. Drop by if you’re in the neighborhood.

Shooting at the Holocaust Museum

News outlets, including CNN, are identifying James von Brunn, 88, as the suspect in a shooting at the US Holocaust Memorial Museum in DC. What appears to be his web site, which is getting swamped with traffic and may not work for long, portrays a man who is angry and anti-semitic, among other inadequate adjectives.

I am relieved to hear that the shooter was quickly disabled by security guards and is now at GW University Hospital, just around the corner from my office. It sounds like a security guard is in worse shape, and we can only hope for the best.

We will need to learn more about what happened. But there are a few things we may want to keep in mind: Almost all the major museums in DC already have metal detectors and guards. The monuments and museums have been heavily fortified with Jersey barriers and other obstacles since 9/11.

But they are still relatively open, free spaces for reflection and learning, and that’s what makes them precious. Spaces thronged every day by school children and visitors from around the world. It will be important, I think, to be smart in responding to this shooting. Or else we risk giving the shooter exactly what he wanted--magnifying his spasm of violence into a lasting legacy.

Stay tuned. 

What a Real Drill Looks Like

IN AMERICA, THE PEOPLE IN CHARGE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT spend millions of dollars a year holding training drills and tabletop exercises. All well and good. But when was the last time that you--the most important person on the scene--got invited?

Thanks to John Solomon for flagging last week’s 5-day nationwide drill in Israel as a model for a meaningful drill. Imagine: a drill that includes the entire population--and features surprise scenarios that require people to take action.

This is the way the brain works. The brain doesn’t learn by reading lists and listening to occasional public statements of officials in grey suits. The brain learns by doing. If we want to train the people who matter most in major disasters--the people who do the majority of life saving--we should invite them to the drill. Otherwise, we’re just play acting--designing emergency plans for emergency officials. Round and round the meta emergencies go.

It’s worth pointing out that Israel’s Home Front Command (similar to our Homeland Security Department) figured this out a long time ago. Human behavior matters more than technology. Look at the English version of their web site and notice the large button at the top labeled: “How to Act in an Emergency.” Click here to find out “How to Behave in a Terrorist Attack” or an earthquake or a fire or a flood. Downright elegant.

In general, I am not quick to point to Israel as a model for the U.S. The threats and context are very different, and I think some of our police departments tend to over-learn from Israel. But not in this case. On this subject, we under-learn.

Israel has got this exactly right. By comparison, DHS offers a mind-numbing list of preparedness and response publications, resources and regulations. From NIMS to NIPP to HSEEP. Ugh. I am unusually obsessed with this subject, and even I cannot bear to stay on this page for more than 6 seconds. 

Getting Robbed at the Pharmacy

A vivid snapshot of American life in 2009 in today’s New York Times. The piece, by Kevin Sack, details the complex calculations people in Rocky Mount, NC, have to make when filling their prescriptions during a recession. For example, take James S. Crawford, who arrived at the pharmacy just after being discharged for his 3rd heart attack:

“Mr. Crawford, 61, who makes do on $1,800 a month in Social Security and veterans’ benefits, decided he could afford only the heart, blood pressure and acid reflux pills. ‘If I can rob a bank,’ he said, chuckling, ‘I’ll be back for the others.’ Before leaving, he handed over yet another prescription, just for safekeeping. It was for Plavix, an anticlotting drug that helps coronary patients avoid new blockages, and it had been written in early February after Mr. Crawford’s second heart attack. At $160, the co-payment was so high he had never considered filling it.”

Now consider an alternate universe: When I lived in France in 2003, I got sick. I put off going to the doctor because I didn’t know how much it would cost. I had health insurance through Time Magazine, but I had to submit claims on my own because I was living abroad, and I had no idea how good my coverage would be. Anyway, when I didn’t get better after a couple of weeks, I gave in and called a doctor in the village of Fontainebleau, where I lived.

I made an appointment for the same day. On my way there, I stopped at an ATM and took out about 100 Euros, just in case. When I got to the doctor’s office, I filled out a short form and then went in to the exam room, without waiting. The doctor checked me out and decided to prescribe antibiotics and a couple other things. (One of the downsides to universal health care is that a lot of doctors go nuts with the prescription pad.)

Then he apologized. He looked somber. He said that since I was not a French citizen, I would have to pay for the visit out of pocket. I nodded and said I understood. Then he asked me for the equivalent of $20. I handed it over. It was less than I might pay for a co-pay back home. Then he gave me a wad of prescriptions and sent me to the pharmacy next door.

At the pharmacy, the woman who filled my prescriptions also apologized. Because I was not covered by the French health care system, she said, I’d have to pay out of pocket. She looked almost ashamed. Again, I swallowed hard. She gave me a bill for… the equivalent of $15. For three prescriptions including antibiotics (which I did need) and a couple silly things I didn’t need.

I walked out and understood what health care could look like. I had gotten more service for less money than I ever got in the States. I didn’t even bother submitting those claims to my health insurance company. For $35, I’d gotten more than my money’s worth.

I know France has its problems. Believe me. I could go on for days about the excessive strikes, the culture of labor entitlement and the bureaucracy, not to mention the implications of a population that does not clean up dog poop from the sidewalk. I know their health care system isn’t perfect, either. But I am telling you: Americans are getting screwed. Most of us don’t even know what a good health care system would look like anymore.

In France, Mr. Crawford would have gotten his drugs. Why couldn’t he get them here? Because we subsidize the rest of the world (including France) by refusing to negotiate as a country for lower drug prices. We pay more and they pay less. Because our doctors expect to make more than French doctors expect to make, partly because they pay an ungodly sum for medical school. When US docs find they can’t make as much as they expected, they overbook and overcharge. Because of a long list of reasons that are no longer mysterious or acceptable.

So it kills me to read about people in America having to leave life-saving prescriptions unfilled because of the greed and ideology of a minority of politicians and businesses. It pains me to read about the opponents to health care reform dragging out the same old, fear-mongering stories to try to prevent America from joining the rest of the civilized world. Seems to me that Americans deserve a system that is at least as good as the one in France or the UK. (Check out this interactive chart comparing the US health care stats to those of other nations.)

About Amanda Ripley

Author of
The Unthinkable
& contributor to Time.

Amanda Ripley, a longtime TIME Magazine contributor, has traveled the world studying disasters, natural and manmade. Her book, The Unthinkable: Who Survives When Disaster Strikes — and Why, is the first major book to explain how the brain works in disasters — and how we can learn to do better. It is being published in 15 countries.

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